Description

This analysis provides a forecast of EGLD prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-05 23.109813 26.252969 29.687370 33.721918 38.336156 43.453835 49.567497
2025-01-12 17.571772 21.624418 26.435137 32.580852 40.244320 49.512524 61.613265
2025-01-19 14.218031 18.668883 24.320434 32.053974 42.410691 55.870732 74.803803
2025-01-26 12.444278 17.262804 23.741827 33.144908 46.535485 65.057941 92.862328
2025-02-02 11.259918 16.384026 23.626545 34.694049 51.331785 75.652607 114.340354
2025-02-09 10.042710 15.236293 22.905333 35.169533 54.511445 84.208544 133.963174
2025-02-16 8.784715 13.828955 21.571748 34.464778 55.687820 89.740734 149.524276
2025-02-23 7.782759 12.671310 20.445631 33.880538 56.885039 95.330829 165.823186
2025-03-02 6.973805 11.713155 19.501403 33.432547 58.180139 101.145729 183.208293
2025-03-09 6.364467 11.007393 18.876645 33.419355 60.170593 108.331017 203.976990
2025-03-16 5.820950 10.347070 18.243785 33.291779 61.898562 115.198411 225.049963
2025-03-23 5.534220 10.105736 18.312153 34.430857 66.087493 127.114669 257.627007
2025-03-30 5.125356 9.611497 17.895074 34.661922 68.677411 136.523616 287.098253
2025-04-06 4.618627 8.878755 16.954939 33.768797 68.934987 141.362704 307.838241
2025-04-13 4.226351 8.322236 16.288019 33.332625 70.056997 148.105174 333.779563
2025-04-20 4.049600 8.172324 16.402641 34.515230 74.752391 163.079696 380.828554
2025-04-27 3.930158 8.124380 16.715036 36.150983 80.651033 181.517256 439.136916
2025-05-04 3.713856 7.849387 16.522850 36.655232 84.059336 194.761027 487.004816
2025-05-11 3.412559 7.359929 15.819778 35.922226 84.488493 201.059521 518.334081
2025-05-18 3.151447 6.931189 15.203443 35.313212 85.129102 207.946512 552.364315
2025-05-25 2.926062 6.559143 14.674348 34.845780 86.052735 215.658218 589.948257
2025-06-01 2.753107 6.289107 14.349233 34.832188 88.115938 226.566630 638.362539
2025-06-08 2.586919 6.017963 13.993275 34.699016 89.852162 236.861345 686.846244